STRIX
Engines Engine 07
Engine 07 / Front-of-Meter
STRIX

STRESS-TESTS EVERY PLAN AGAINST THE RARE, EXPENSIVE DAY

Testing a plan on average days misses the outcomes that actually hurt. STRIX spends its simulation budget on the rare, expensive futures crude Monte Carlo skips, so the downside number is real. Importance-sampled tail estimation with stratified variance reduction.

Tail simulation Front-of-Meter
Category
Tail simulation
Method
Importance-sampled
Validated
On your data
Available in
All FoM plans
What it does

THE AVERAGE DAY ISN'T THE RISK

A policy that looks great on typical days can still ruin a quarter on a rare one. STRIX concentrates its simulation on exactly those days.

01
Spends the budget where it matters

Instead of wasting simulations on ordinary days, it concentrates them on the rare bad ones. Importance-sampled tail estimation.

02
A steadier number

It reduces the noise in the estimate, so the same run gives a consistent answer. Stratified variance reduction.

03
The bad-, likely- and good-case

Every plan comes back with its full outcome range, not a single point. P10/P50/P90 revenue bounds per policy.

04
Tests before it runs

Nothing is recommended until STRIX has stress-tested it against thousands of futures. Pre-recommendation policy validation on your own history.

Available in
Pilot (Free)OperatorFleetEnterprise
Validation

Every claim on this page is proven on your own data first — a 12-month walk-forward before you act on anything live.

The method

BEST-IN-CLASS, NAMED PLAINLY.

These are the real methods behind STRIX, each in one plain line. We name the method as a credibility signal — we don't publish the recipe.

Importance-sampled tail estimation

Spends its budget on the rare, expensive outcomes crude Monte Carlo misses.

Stratified variance reduction

Makes the estimate steadier for the same amount of compute.

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