Plain English For executives, investors & board members

WHAT AVRENIX
ACTUALLY DOES.

No jargon. No acronyms you need a PhD to understand. Just a clear explanation of what the platform does, why it matters, and what you can expect if you deploy it.

If you'd prefer the technical version, see How It Works →

What does Avrenix actually do?

It decides when to charge and discharge a battery storage asset — and it makes that decision better than a human or a simple rule-based system can.

If you own a large battery that sells electricity into a wholesale market, the difference between a smart dispatch decision and a dumb one is real money every day. Avrenix's nine engines work together to make the smart decision every five minutes, around the clock, automatically — and a pilot proves the difference on your own data before you commit.

If you're a commercial building or industrial facility with large electricity bills, it works out how to stop you being charged for demand peaks — cutting the demand charge, proven on your facility's own interval history before you act on a single recommendation.

Think of it like a high-frequency trading desk for your battery — an analogy for the quality of the decisions, not a claim that Avrenix trades for you. It works out when to buy cheap and sell expensive, which moments to avoid, and how to structure ancillary bids. Avrenix produces those decisions; your own trading and control systems execute them.
Why does this require nine separate engines?

Because every dimension of the problem requires a different kind of intelligence — and those intelligences need to talk to each other.

Making a good dispatch decision requires knowing: what the price will be in 4 hours (forecasting), what regime the grid is in (classification), what happens if the forecast is wrong (adversarial planning), how your own dispatch moves the market (microstructure), and whether you can earn more from ancillary services than spot arbitrage (portfolio optimisation). No single model handles all five.

Existing platforms typically handle one or two of these dimensions and approximate the rest. Avrenix handles all five simultaneously, with each engine's output conditioning the next.

How do you prove Avrenix actually makes more money?

Not with a number from our marketing deck — with a test on your own data. Before you commit, Avrenix replays its dispatch strategy against your site's own price history and compares it to the alternatives, including the fixed "charge overnight, discharge at peak" schedule most operators run today.

The test is done properly: walk-forward — the strategy is trained on past data and scored on later, unseen data, exactly as it would run in production — against several standard baselines, with a statistical significance test (Diebold-Mariano) to confirm any difference is real and not luck. You get the working, not just the answer.

And the answer isn't a single figure. It's a range of outcomes — because markets are uncertain and an honest projection says so.

P10
The bad-case annual outcome — how it does on a rough year
P50
The likely-case outcome — the median across simulated years
P90
The good-case outcome — computed on your own history, not promised

Avrenix doesn't promise a specific dollar figure. It gives you the bad-, likely- and good-case outcome on your own data — which is the honest answer, and the one a lender or board can underwrite.

What are the nine engines in plain English?
Here is what each engine does, explained without technical vocabulary:
FENRIR
The pessimist. Asks: "What's the worst realistic thing that could happen to the weather and prices in the next 4 hours?" Then plans for that scenario specifically. This means even if things go badly, your battery was still doing something reasonable. You give up a little potential upside in exchange for protecting against the downside.
SYNDEX
The market observer. Watches how other players in the market are probably behaving, based on price movement patterns. If it detects that other large batteries are about to discharge at the same time as you, it suggests waiting 30 minutes to avoid flooding the market and driving your own sale price down.
KAIROS
The forensic accountant. After each period, analyses why the actual revenue was higher or lower than expected. "The wind dropped unexpectedly, which drove prices up, which we partially captured — but we could have captured more if we had held the charge until 17:00." It finds the cause, not just the correlation, so future decisions improve.
SPECTER
The personality reader. Learns the characteristic behaviour patterns of your specific grid — when prices tend to spike, how sensitive they are to wind, what the morning shoulder looks like. It also identifies other sites in the fleet that behave similarly, so new sites can borrow strategies from experienced ones immediately.
CONSUL
The negotiator. Automatically bids your battery into ancillary services (grid stability contracts) alongside spot market activity. If the grid operator offers $85/MW for frequency regulation and your spot opportunity cost is $80/MW, CONSUL accepts. If they offer $75, it counter-bids at $82. This happens automatically, dozens of times per day.
HELIOS
The weather forecaster — for prices. Uses four different statistical models to predict electricity prices 48 hours ahead, then blends their predictions. Crucially, it also tells you how confident it is — a narrow range means high confidence; a wide range means uncertainty and the other engines adjust accordingly.
STRIX
The stress tester. Runs thousands of simulated versions of the next 30 days and tells you the range of financial outcomes under each dispatch strategy — concentrating its effort on the rare, expensive days that ordinary simulation skips. Before any schedule executes, it checks it against those scenarios, and any schedule with too high a chance of a bad outcome is rejected before it can run.
PHALANX
The peak watcher. (Commercial buildings only.) Predicts when the highest electricity demand of the billing month will occur, then discharges the battery precisely at that moment to shave the peak. One missed peak can wipe out a month of savings. PHALANX's job is to make sure that never happens.
TARSIS
The bill optimizer. (Commercial buildings only.) Reads your full utility rate structure — time-of-use prices, demand tiers, export compensation, EV charging schedules — and finds the globally optimal dispatch schedule across all of them simultaneously. Most tools handle each component separately. TARSIS solves them all at once, which produces significantly better results.
What do I actually need to do to set this up?
There are four steps. The first three are typically done by your technical team over 2–5 business days. The fourth happens automatically.
1
Connect your market price data
We pull real-time electricity prices from your ISO/RTO (ERCOT, CAISO, PJM, etc.). Most ISOs provide a public API. For ERCOT, no API key is needed — it's freely available. Your technical team configures this in the Integrations tab. Takes about an hour.
2
Connect your battery telemetry
Avrenix needs to know the current state of charge and recent dispatch history. This connects via Modbus, DNP3, or a REST API to your BMS (battery management system) or SCADA system. Your BMS vendor can usually provide this. Takes 1–3 days depending on your system.
3
Run the onboarding wizard
You enter your site's physical parameters (battery size, chemistry, efficiency) and tell Avrenix which markets and revenue streams you participate in. This takes about 30 minutes. If you have historical dispatch data, you can upload it to accelerate the engines' learning curve.
4
Avrenix goes to work
From this point, the engines run continuously. HELIOS publishes a new forecast every hour. FENRIR, SYNDEX, and CONSUL update every five minutes. SPECTER builds your grid's personality profile over the first 30 days. STRIX runs a full simulation on each recommended dispatch schedule before it's put in front of you. You see everything in the portal — your team (or your control system) acts on the recommendations — and Chai explains any decision in plain English on request.
What could go wrong?

Three things, honestly stated:

1. The forecast is wrong. Avrenix's forecast is better than most alternatives, but it's still a forecast. In unexpected grid stress events — major outages, weather extremes — the forecast degrades for 4–8 hours before recalibrating. The adversarial planning (FENRIR) partially protects against this, but not completely.

2. The data connection goes down. If your BMS or price feed disconnects, Avrenix switches to a conservative fallback mode — it recommends holding at the last known state rather than acting on stale data. It won't push you into expensive mistakes on stale data, but it also won't be optimising actively.

3. Market structure changes. If the ISO significantly changes its market rules or settlement methodology, the models need to be recalibrated. This has happened historically (e.g. ERCOT's settlement changes post-Uri). When HELIOS detects persistent drift from its predictions, it flags this automatically and triggers retraining.

None of these risks are unique to Avrenix — they apply to any dispatch system. What Avrenix adds is visibility into when each of these is occurring, rather than discovering it after the fact in your settlement statements.

For commercial buildings: what does this mean in simple numbers?

Take a mid-sized data centre or manufacturing facility. You might have a monthly electricity bill of $800,000 — of which $250,000 is the demand charge (a fee based on your single highest 15-minute peak usage of the month).

The demand charge is disproportionately painful because one bad 15-minute period at 3pm on a hot Tuesday determines a month of charges. If your peak was 1,400 kW but PHALANX discharged your battery to limit it to 1,000 kW, you've saved 400 kW × your demand rate. At $18/kW/month, that's $7,200 saved in one intervention.

That is one intervention. Across a full year, consistent peak management plus time-of-use optimisation and export revenue add up — and the exact figure is what a pilot measures on your facility's own interval history, before you act on a single recommendation. We quote your number, not a brochure number.

Your data
The saving is measured on your facility's own 12-month history before go-live
Whole bill
Time-of-use, demand tiers and export solved together — not one line at a time
Reserve held
A critical-load floor is a hard limit — savings only ever come from surplus
What does Chai do, and why does it matter?

Chai is the conversational interface for the platform. Instead of reading a dashboard and trying to interpret what the engines are telling you, you ask a question in plain English and Chai answers it.

"Why did CONSUL counter-bid this morning?" — Chai explains the opportunity cost calculation. "What's the probability we miss the demand threshold this month?" — Chai pulls the PHALANX risk assessment and tells you in one sentence. "How much revenue did we lose because of the forecast error on Tuesday?" — KAIROS's causal analysis, translated into dollars.

For operators who are technically sophisticated, the cockpit dashboards give full visibility. For executives who need a brief, Chai is the interface. It answers questions you'd otherwise have to schedule a meeting to ask.

How we compare

AVRENIX VS
THE ALTERNATIVES.

Capability Avrenix Fixed Schedule Rule-Based EMS Generic Analytics
Responds to real-time pricesYes — every 5 minNoPartiallyReports only
Stress-tests before dispatchingYes — thousands of scenariosNoNoNo
Ancillary service optimisationAutonomous biddingNoManual rulesNo
Explains every decisionFull XAI + ChaiN/APartiallyDashboard only
Demand charge eliminationProbabilistic, pre-emptiveNoReactive onlyNo
Learns from your specific siteContinuous · 30-day rampNoStatic rulesNo
Revenue uplift proven on your dataWalk-forward + DM testBaselineRarely validatedNot applicable
Implementation time2–5 days1 day2–8 weeks1–4 weeks
Typical cost (single site)$12,000/mo after pilot~$0$5–20k/mo$2–10k/mo

START WITH A
FREE 90-DAY PILOT.

All nine engines and Chai. No feature gating. No credit card. If it doesn't prove out on your own data, there's nothing to pay.

See it running on your own data during the pilot — before any commitment.